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研究显示 AI 达到同等基准性能的成本每年下降约 13 倍

Epoch AI 的测算显示,AI 达到固定基准性能水平的价格每年下降约 13 倍,速度快于以往任何技术。MIT 研究在剔除硬件进步和竞争因素后,把算法层面的年度进步定在约 3 倍。价格下降不等于最强模型更便宜,推理模型每个任务消耗的算力更多,成本可能反而更高。实际选模型时,质量、速度和错误率与价格同样重要。

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Epoch 算出同性能成本一年降 13 倍,MIT 拆出算法本身贡献约 3 倍,但推理模型反而更烧钱,选型逻辑讲得挺清楚。

5 sources58° AI heatLast updated 2026/9/24 16:00:18

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