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Anthropic 研究员对博士生演讲：传统科研职业规划已失效

一位 Anthropic 研究员在题为《El fin del Antropoceno》的演讲中给出数据：过去十年训练模型算力增长了 1000 万倍，AI 独立完成任务的时长每隔几个月翻一倍，且 7 个月前模型已解开数学家悬置的 Erdős 开放问题。他预测 2030 年算力将是 2025 年的 1 万倍。他建议学生每天使用 AI、选择随算力增长而增值的项目、放弃按稳定路径规划职业。

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Anthropic 研究员对博士生说：十年算力涨了 1000 万倍，按老路线读博可能毕业即过时，三条建议挺实在。

11 sources67° AI heatLast updated 2026/10/19 01:33:49

Evidence

11 sources

Primary sourceAI Will

2026/10/19 01:33:49View source

Related source 1The Information

2026/10/17 14:00:17View source

Related source 2DavidSacks

2026/10/17 16:11:32View source

Related source 3Teortaxes

2026/10/17 20:46:11View source

Related source 4IT之家

2026/10/18 10:42:51View source

Related source 5The Business Times: Tech

2026/10/19 22:54:48View source

Related source 6techcrunch

2026/10/19 23:39:38View source

Related source 7Tech in Asia

2026/10/20 03:09:49View source

Related source 8rohanpaul_ai

2026/10/20 05:53:35View source

Related source 9@cb_doge

2026/10/20 10:53:54View source

Related source 10kimmonismus

2026/10/20 19:43:37View source

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