Richard Socher分析了AI为啥还没让GDP起飞，第三点很多人没想到——很多行业根本不需要那么智能。
Richard Socher指出，AI虽进步显著，但未带来GDP大幅增长。原因一：AI仅替换复杂流程的部分步骤，企业仍沿用旧模式，行业全面革新缓慢。原因二：AI原生初创公司（如更便宜的AI律所）仍需建立市场推广和销售体系。原因三：大量经济领域（旅游、房地产、奢侈品、食品供应链等）的核心并不依赖高度智能，廉价丰富的AI对其改变有限。他认为知识工作、研究密集型产业和数字领域将受益并超越传统行业。
There are at least a few reasons for why the incredible progress in AI hasn't yet resulted in a mass...
There are at least a few reasons for why the incredible progress in AI hasn't yet resulted in a massive increase in GDP (some from Captain Obvious but number 3 is less intuitive to many smart people). 1. AI replaces some steps in complicated processes but companies are still doing mostly similar things and adoption and rethinking entire industries are slow. 2. Startups that replace everything (eg AI native law firm that is much cheaper) still need to ramp GTM, sales, etc But more importantly and surprising to many in Silicon Valley: 3. A huge chunk of the economy just does not require that much intelligence and won't materially change at its core with intelligence being abundant and cheap, eg. - tourism - people will want to see the pyramids with or without AI, - real estate - people want to live in hip and safe neighborhoods, AirBnB, rentals, etc. - luxury goods and status symbol bs, eg fancy handbags, clothes, overpriced cars, etc - food and large parts of the food supply chain (yes, I love AI for agriculture but crops and cows still need time to grow, etc) - sports and much of entertainment - oil drilling, tree growing/logging for construction, most of mining - etc If your existing economy depends mostly on these types of industries, AI won't impact it that much. But there's a whole new economy of knowledge work, research heavy industries, deep tech, online and digital work etc that will massively benefit and outgrow these existing industries. 💬 7 🔄 1 ❤️ 24 👀 2013 📊 9 ⚡