Anthropic评估AI灭绝人类概率超10%
Yesterday, Anthropic's alignment science lead put a >10% chance on AI killing all humans within a de...
Anthropic同时发布AI灭绝风险预测和经济影响报告，数据对比鲜明。
Anthropic对齐科学负责人认为AI有超过10%概率在十年内灭绝全人类。Anthropic经济团队发布了美国经济受AI影响的三个2030年场景：温和场景下GDP增长1.6%；显著场景下AI可完成一半知识工作，GDP增长8.3%；极端场景下AI几乎完成所有知识工作，GDP增长32.4%至44.4万亿美元。
Yesterday, Anthropic's alignment science lead put a >10% chance on AI killing all humans within a de...
Yesterday, Anthropic's alignment science lead put a >10% chance on AI killing all humans within a decade. For some lighter reading, Anthropic's economics team just published what happens to the U.S. economy if it doesn't. Three scenarios for 2030, GDP measured against a world without AI: - Modest: AI's impact is "something like the internet's." GDP +1.6%. - Substantial: AI can do half of all knowledge work, most of it on its own. GDP +8.3%. Knowledge-worker wages "essentially flat." - Extreme: AI does nearly all knowledge work. GDP +32.4% (!) to $44.4T, growth hits 15% a year, and the economy doubles every 4.5 years. 💬 5 🔄 0 ❤️ 8 👀 2510 📊 5 ⚡
