Amodei 把 AI 对经济和就业的冲击说透了——高增长与高失业可能并存,做技术决策或关注职业未来的开发者值得细读。
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 在采访中警告,AI 可能同时带来极高 GDP 增长和极高失业率,这种组合在历史上从未出现过。他指出,AI 的颠覆性远超以往任何技术,5%-10% 的经济增长与 10% 的失业率并非逻辑矛盾。Amodei 还透露,Anthropic 内部一些工程负责人已不再自己写代码,而是让 Opus 完成大部分工作,自己只负责编辑。他认为软件工程师目前仍有工作可做,但模型能力持续提升,这种局面不会永远持续。
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: "AI will take us to …
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei:
"AI will take us to a world where we have very high GDP growth and potentially also very high unemployment and inequality.
We've never had a technology that's this disruptive. So the idea that we could have 5% or 10% GDP growth, but also, 10% unemployment, it's not logically inconsistent at all. It's just never happened that way before. And I'm really quite, for those both reasons, excited and worried.
I have some engineering leads within Anthropic who have basically said to me, I don't write any code anymore. I just let Opus do the work and I edit it.
There are still things for the software engineers to do, right? It's like, even if the software engineers are only doing 10% of it, they still have a job to do or they can take a level up.
That's not going to last forever. The models are going to do more and more. "
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From "The Wall Street Journal" YT channel (link in comment)