Steven Sinofsky 谈 Jev：用概率化 if 语句取代自然语言低效交互

Sinofsky 指出自然语言从来不是高效接口，他介绍 Jev 的工作方式类似一门定制编程语言：提示词返回一个百分比，再放进 if 语句里做概率化分支判断。他认为这重新连接了 1960-70 年代概率编程的研究脉络。

对话还讨论了 AI 监管时机、2028 年大选，以及智能体大规模运行对权限与认证体系带来的安全挑战。

Steven Sinofsky on why Jev fixes his oldest complaint about AI: natural language was never an efficient interface. "Ask yourself how many people are really, really good at asking questions. Less than half the people can ask a good question in a meeting." "And then how often do you look at the answer and get really frustrated before it's finished, but you have to pay all this money to watch the seven paragraphs come out...?" "My favorite is the output of it is designed for probabilistic programming." "Instead of saying, 'Is this a customer service question? Then route to customer service, otherwise route to general help desk,' it's, 'This is 80% customer service.' That's exactly simulation." "There's 50 years of computer science research in literally probabilistic if statements. Suddenly the coolest place to be in computer science is gonna be probabilistic programming, which was all of computer science in the 1960s and '70s." "This is not all new. It's gonna be very interesting to dust off all of that work, because it's exactly what's going on. An if statement now is if X percent, not if always." "The way that Jev works is it's a custom programming language almost, which is: here's the prompt, come back with a percentage. And then you put that in the if statement." @stevesi

This report is categorized under AITOP's "Industry" desk, focusing on US frontier AI labs and Silicon Valley technology leaders. Within our cross-regional analytical framework, it directly maps to AI developer toolchains, coding agents, and engineering workflows. Key entities and technical topics under continuous tracking include Steven Sinofsky, a16z, Jev, Aaron Levie.

Source attribution: curated from a16z (@a16z).