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Anthropic 的 Jack Clarke 将 RSI 时间线提前至 2027 年

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Anthropic 的 Jack Clarke 把 RSI 预期从 2028 提前到 2027,他在 X 上解释了理由,关心 AI 时间线预测的可以看看。

Anthropic 员工 Jack Clarke 表示将递归自我改进(RSI)的预期时间线提前一年。他认为 2027 年实现完全 RSI 的可能性很高,此前他的判断是 2028 年。他在社交媒体上称 2027 年将出现剧烈变化,2026 年会是最后一个正常年份。该预测来自其个人账号,尚无配套研究报告。

原文 · kimmonismus

Anthropics' Jack Clarke has adjusted his timeline for RSI and brought its arrival forward; he considers it highly likely that "full RSI will become possible in 2027, whereas before I thought it was more likely in 2028."

Again, 2027 will be the year everything will drastically change forever. 2026 will be the last "normal", although noting feels normal any longer.