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Databricks 的 Ali Ghodsi 谈 AI 自我改进需满足的四个条件

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Databricks 老大 Ali Ghodsi 说他们 90% 代码已经是 AI 写的,还给出了判断 AI 能否自我改进的四个硬条件,观点挺清醒。

Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi 在 a16z 访谈中提出,AI 真正实现自我改进需同时满足四个条件:下一代模型训练所需 GPU 更少、训练时间更短、智能水平提升,并且这一循环可以反复进行。他表示 Databricks 约 90% 以上的软件已由 AI 编写,剩余部分是否由 AI 写完并不关键。他还指出,很多人把“AI 写代码”与 Bostrom 在 2014 年假设的超级智能概念混为一谈,认为两者是不同的问题。

图片来源 · a16z
原文 · a16z

Ali Ghodsi of @Databricks on the four conditions that would have to hold for AI to truly improve itself: "The next model requires less resources, less GPUs to train... The second condition: the next model takes less time to train as well. Third, accuracy of the model, the intelligence is increasing. And fourth, we can do the former three again and again and again... All at the same time, not just any of them." "If you just mean that the software is writing itself, we're already there today. Like 90-some percent of the software in Databricks is written by AI. Does it matter if the last few percent is also written by AI? No." "If you're getting these four conditions, then you might get a speed-up where the next model, let's say, takes half amount of time and half the resources, and it is more intelligent... By the way, I don't even know if that necessarily leads you to superintelligence." "A lot of people, their definition is just, 'Hey, if I'm not even coding anymore and it's coding itself'... I think they're conflating, 'Hey, what's my value and is it scary for me?' Versus, 'Hey, that then means we'll get that superintelligence that in 2014 was hypothesized by Bostrom.'" @alighodsi @martin_casado @sarah_wang Your browser does not support the video tag. 🔗 View on Twitter 💬 7 🔄 2 ❤️ 14 👀 4489 📊 8 ⚡