ModelsMulti-source

Claude 独立署名论文,Anthropic 被指储备多项未发布成果

Why we picked it

有人拆解了那篇只署名 Claude 的论文,猜 Anthropic 手里囤了一批发现等 IPO 时一起放,推理过程挺有意思。

一篇论文的作者栏只列了 Claude,没有人类合著者,与 OpenAI 论文列出人类作者的做法不同。文中提到内部模型 Claude Fable 5.1 与 Claude Mythos 5.1 权重相同,仅护栏不同,并推测论文由 Mythos 5.5 自主完成。论文称核心算法在 10 月 16 日由内部 Claude 研究模型以 1400 万输出 token 找出,无人类输入,OpenAI 内部模型也独立证明了类似结果。作者认为 Anthropic 是为配合 Fable 5.5 发布和 IPO 才临时放出这个 ETH 结果,手上还压着更多未公开发现。

Original · Andrew Curran

Claude is the only author listed on this paper, in contrast to the OpenAI papers, where the human co-authors are listed. There are a lot of strange things about this. It's fun to guess. Conjecture time. I shall reveal my thought traces:

Claude Fable 5.1 and Claude Mythos 5.1 are the same model with the same weights; the only difference is the guardrails. We are about to get Fable 5.5 - in fact, Fable 5.5 is ready to deploy now, and Anthropic could do so at any time. If they follow the same pattern, and I think they will, this implies the existence of a Mythos 5.5. I believe Mythos 5.5 wrote this paper.

The way this is worded -

'Provenance. The core algorithm was found on October 16 by an internal Claude research model with 14M output tokens and no human input. Anthropic researchers worked with Claude to improve the presentation, resulting in this paper. Independently and concurrently, an internal model at OpenAI claims to have proven a similar result [Ope26]'

- makes me think Claude was not prompted to solve this. I think Mythos was asked to autonomously find and choose general open problems to solve itself, as part of an unannounced project to demonstrate recent advances in autonomy and research taste. You can see this taste in Fable 5.5's student; Opus 5.5. This recent advancement in taste and creativity - which happened in September - is not clearly expressed in benchmarks, but it is why so many people are currently switching to Claude as their primary. I think this research project will be announced with Fable 5.5, as part of Anthropic's big media blitz to boost the IPO.

One of the things X has taught me is that many people, if they can't see something moving, can't imagine it moving. This causes them to be continuously surprised by developments in this industry, because the frontier is invisible. I think this project has been running autonomously for some time and has made an unknown, and probably significant, number of discoveries, and not only in math.

Do not think Anthropic has been sitting idly while OpenAI repeatedly makes these huge science announcements. This is a war. This ETH result was released without any announcement from Anth at all despite its significance, and they only did so to respond to OpenAI's ETH reveal. They posted it late last night without saying anything. It was up for hours before levent even mentioned it. What value has one coin to a dragon who sleeps upon a mountain of them? This makes me think they are sitting on a pile of discoveries, a golden hoard, and they are saving them up for the big IPO shock-and-awe campaign which will soon begin. And when it does, they will announce multiple discoveries across many fields.