Gary Marcus 的预测直击 LLM 商业化的核心痛点，做 AI 投资或技术选型的人值得一读，看完会重新思考当前押注是否理性。
AI 学者 Gary Marcus 在 X 上发布三条预测：1. 未来会出现一种更经济、数据与能源效率更高的 AI（很可能是神经符号系统），并将赚取巨额利润；2. LLM 本身永远不会太赚钱（除了卖铲子的芯片公司）；3. 当前对 LLM 的巨额押注为时过早，多数不会成功。这些观点挑战了当前 AI 行业以 LLM 为中心的投资热潮，引发对技术路线和商业模式的反思。
Three Predictions: 1. Some form of AI, probably neurosymbolic in nature, will come that is far mor...
Three Predictions: 1. Some form of AI, probably neurosymbolic in nature, will come that is far more economical and data- and energy-efficient than LLMs, and it will make an absolute fortune. 2. LLMs, on the other hand, will never be all that profitable (aside from the chip companies selling shovels in the gold rush). 3. Today’s gigantic bets are premature, and most won’t pay off. 💬 11 🔄 6 ❤️ 45 👀 2071 📊 17 ⚡