Causal Discovery in the Era of Agents: 论文提出代理应辅助而非替代因果推断

Causal Discovery in the Era of Agents

精选理由

这篇论文给了一个清晰的边界:AI代理该帮什么、不该帮什么。causal-learn+平台演示了如何让LLM辅助分析数据,但不越界做因果推断。

AI 摘要

该论文指出将大语言模型(LLMs)与因果发现结合时,若让模型直接推断因果关系,可能引入文本关联、提示伪影和幻觉机制等不可靠因素。作者主张代理(agents)的角色应局限于检查数据、检索上下文、解释方法假设和澄清图输出,而非提供边、方向、先验或因果结论。他们提出了causal-learn+在线平台,该平台围绕causal-learn算法生态系统协调数据分析、预处理、方法推荐、专家知识融入和形式化发现。在Big Five人格数据案例研究中,展示了代理辅助的因果发现流程,避免将语言模型的不可靠性转化为因果证据。

原文 · arXiv cs.LG

Causal Discovery in the Era of Agents

Recent attempts to combine large language models (LLMs) with causal discovery ask models to infer pairwise directions, propose graph structures, or inject language-model outputs as priors and constraints. These approaches promise faster analysis, but they also obscure whether a causal evidence is supported by data and assumptions or by textual associations, prompt artifacts and hallucinated mechanisms. We argue for a different role for agents in causal discovery. Agents should inspect data, retrieve context, explain method assumptions and clarify graph outputs, but they should not supply edges, orientations, priors, constraints or causal conclusions. We propose the principle that agents assist the workflow, while causal claims remain grounded in data, explicit assumptions, formal algorithms, diagnostics and user or domain-expert decisions. We instantiate this principle in causal-learn+, an online platform that coordinates data analysis, preprocessing, method recommendation, expert-knowledge incorporation, formal discovery and interpretation around the algorithmic ecosystem of causal-learn. A case study on Big Five personality data illustrates agent-assisted pipeline of causal discovery without turning language-model unreliability into causal evidence. The platform is available at causallearn.com.