Planetary Prediction Engine: Autonomous Geospatial Prediction via Intelligent Data Selection and Foundation Model Embeddings

精选理由

PPE通过智能数据选择和基础模型嵌入实现自主地理空间预测,在多个领域表现优于现有模型,降低行星规模分析的技术门槛,值得一看。

AI 摘要

PPE是一个自主AI系统,通过自然语言查询直接执行端到端工作流程,合成多模态数据集,检索时空相关协变量,并融合地理空间基础模型嵌入(PDFM,AlphaEarth)。在多个任务、地理区域和科学领域,PPE持续优于最先进或手动调优的专家基线。例如,在US空间回归中,PPE提高了21个CDC健康指标的$R^2$,在数据稀缺的环境中,PPE将本地代理集成到Nigerian食品安全指标中,将基线准确性翻倍。在2026年DRC Bundibugyo埃博拉疫情爆发预测中,PPE实现了83.3%的Recall@10,比公共最先进模型提高了10.3个百分点。

原文 · arXiv cs.AI

Addressing critical global challenges, from food security and disaster risk to disease outbreaks and socio-economic vulnerability, demands high-fidelity geospatial modeling. However, building predictive planetary models remains bottlenecked by a fragmented data ecosystem, requiring manual data retrieval, multimodal data curation and fusion along with iterative model selection. We present the Planetary Prediction Engine (PPE), an autonomous AI system that executes this end-to-end workflow directly from natural-language queries. PPE synthesizes multimodal datasets on the fly, retrieving spatiotemporally relevant covariates across open-web and Earth observation platforms (Data Commons, Google Earth Engine) and fusing them with geospatial foundation model embeddings (PDFM, AlphaEarth). Simultaneously, it searches over task-tailored model architecture families with automated overfitting guards. Across diverse tasks, geographies, and scientific domains, PPE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art or manually tuned expert baselines. For US spatial regression, PPE improves mean $R^2$ across 21 CDC health indicators (76.8% vs. 60.0%), FEMA national risk indices (64.9% vs. 60.0%), and the Social Vulnerability Index (66.2% vs. 58.6%). For spatial downscaling in data-scarce settings, PPE integrates localized proxies to double baseline accuracy in Nigerian food security indicators ($R^2$ of 66.1% vs. 31.5%). For epidemiological nowcasting of the 2026 DRC Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, PPE achieves a Recall@10 of 83.3% (identifying 15 of 18 newly invaded health zones across five weekly forecasts), a +10.3 percentage-point improvement over the public state-of-the-art modeling (~73%). By combining autonomous multimodal planetary data discovery with targeted model optimization, PPE lowers the technical barrier to planetary-scale analytics, enabling rapid, customized, expert-level deployment.