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GUT method quantifies LLM reasoning uncertainty

GUT: Quantifying and Optimizing the Reasoning Uncertainty of LLMs via Graph Complexity

Why we picked it

GUT provides a concrete framework to measure and reduce reasoning uncertainty in LLMs, addressing a critical challenge for developers working with complex reasoning tasks.

The Graph-complexity-based UncerTainty (GUT) method addresses reasoning uncertainty in Large Language Models. GUT uses directed acyclic graphs to characterize reasoning branches. The method includes GUT-Q for quantifying uncertainty through graph complexity and GUT-O for optimization via reinforcement learning. Experiments on four LLMs and five datasets validated GUT's effectiveness.

Original · arXiv cs.AI

GUT: Quantifying and Optimizing the Reasoning Uncertainty of LLMs via Graph Complexity

Recent years have witnessed great advances in the reasoning ability of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the reasoning processes of LLMs often exhibit uncertainty, where LLMs often produce a proliferation of divergent branches at each reasoning step even when fed the same prompting inputs, and certain branches exhibit evidently incredible, even nonsensical, reasoning chains and results. In this paper, we propose the Graph-complexity-based UncerTainty (GUT) method for investigating the reasoning uncertainty of LLMs. The key idea of GUT is to characterize the potential branches of each reasoning chain with a directed acyclic graph, thereby ensuring that all potential branches are comprehensively covered within the graph space. Building upon this recognition, we further build two modules of GUT, that is, a Quantification (GUT-Q) module and an Optimization (GUT-O) module, for quantifying and reducing the reasoning uncertainty of LLMs, respectively. GUT-Q measures LLM reasoning uncertainty by approximating the reasoning space complexity with graph complexity. GUT-O implements uncertainty optimization by treating negative uncertainty as the reward function in reinforcement learning. Experimental results conducted on four LLMs and five datasets validate the effectiveness of GUT.