Hassabis 的 AGI 时间线预测给所有关注 AI 长期影响的人敲响警钟——做政策研究、战略规划或技术伦理的团队，建议认真思考这个时间差带来的风险。
Google DeepMind 联合创始人兼 CEO Demis Hassabis 在斯坦福商学院访谈中表示，AGI（通用人工智能）可能在 2030 年左右到来，社会没有太多时间准备。他认为人类正站在奇点的山脚下，未来几年将决定走向。评论指出，真正的挑战不在于 AGI 何时精确到来，而在于现有制度能否适应——学校、企业、政府等人类系统反应速度远慢于技术变革速度，可能形成危险的时间差。
源：https://t.co/snPEtR9EIF
源： x.com/rohanpaul_ai/s… Rohan Paul @rohanpaul_ai Demis Hassabis's new interview: "Society needs to hear that because we don't have long to prepare for what that means. We are standing in the foothills of the singularity now. ..which is AGI. I believe that we are only a few years away from that, maybe around 2030, plus or minus a year. " ~ Demis Hassabis, Co-Founder and CEO of Google DeepMind It is going to be enormously profound, I think. The future, in my view, is still to be written. But these next few years are going to be very critical as to which way that will go, and how we collectively want that to look.” --- IMO, The real disruption is not whether AGI arrives exactly in 2030, plus or minus a year, but whether institutions can adapt, as in post-AGI world, technology will change much faster than human systems can respond. Schools still train people for stable professions, companies still organize work around human bottlenecks, and governments still regulate after harm becomes visible. AGI, if it arrives anywhere near the frontier-lab timelines, compresses that lag into a dangerous gap. ---- From "Stanford Graduate School of Business" YouTube channel, (link in comment) Your browser does not support the video tag. 🔗 View on Twitter 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 0 🔄 0 ❤️ 0 👀 342 ⚡