Marcus说特朗普政策可能让美国输掉AI竞赛
Gary Marcus在X上发文称，特朗普政府的出口限制可能使Anthropic等公司开发的数十亿美元模型无法在美国以外产生收入，同时导致大量外籍员工无法继续工作。他认为这会让前沿模型开发无利可图，并显著拖慢Anthropic、OpenAI、Google、xAI等公司的进度，从而将GenAI竞赛的胜利拱手让给中国。
Until tonight, I didn’t think either the US or China would “win” the GenAI race. I thought it would ...
Until tonight, I didn’t think either the US or China would “win” the GenAI race. I thought it would be a tie. Didn’t occur to me the Trump administration could trip the US efforts from behind. But it just did. Lisan al Gaib @scaling01 For anyone wondering what this means: - Anthropic (and potentially future OpenAI, Google, xAI) models that cost billions to develop will make 0 revenue outside the US - a big double digit percentage of Anthropic (and potentially OpenAI, Google, xAI) workforce can no longer work there, because they are foreigners and are not allowed to use those models So Trump just made frontier model development effectively unprofitable and tremendously slowed down Anthropic (and potentially others in the future) He's handing China the win on a gold platter. *potentially: if the same restrictions are imposed on other frontier labs and models 🔗 View Quoted Tweet 💬 7 🔄 7 ❤️ 26 👀 2933 📊 9 ⚡