ModelsMulti-source
Ethan Mollick 测试 Claude Fable 与 GPT-6 Astra 对复杂理论问题的预测能力
Why we picked it
Mollick 让 Claude Fable 和 GPT-6 Astra 凭感觉预测一个计算复杂性难题何时能解决，连 AI 自己都答不准，挺有意思。
Ethan Mollick 让 Claude Fable 和 GPT-6 Astra 在不查询资料的情况下预测 Exponential Time Hypothesis 何时能被解决。他仅展示了部分回答，指出这个实验同时说明了对 AI 发展做预测有多难，连 AI 自己也难以预测 AI 的进展。
Original · Ethan Mollick
This never gets old (& also shows how hard forecasting AI is even for AI)
“Hey Claude Fable & GPT-6 Astra, Without looking anything up, when do you think we will solve the Exponential Time Hypothesis?” (I only show part of the answers for space) https://t.co/l615pOos4l
