统一信息瓶颈框架用于时间序列解释

Towards A Unified Information Bottleneck Framework for Time Series Explanations

精选理由

这篇论文提出了一个新颖的时间序列解释框架{\modelname},它结合了归因和反事实解释,对于需要透明和可解释模型行为的应用来说非常有用,值得一读。

AI 摘要

现有时间序列数据深度学习模型解释方法分为归因解释和反事实解释,但两者研究独立,导致归因方法缺乏因果验证,反事实方法不稳定。本文从信息论角度重新审视时间序列可解释性,提出统一目标函数,引入模型{\modelname},在合成和真实世界基准上优于现有方法,提供可靠归因和稳定的反事实解释。

原文 · arXiv cs.AI

Towards A Unified Information Bottleneck Framework for Time Series Explanations

Explaining deep learning models operating on time series data is crucial in various applications that require transparent and interpretable insights into model behavior. {Existing explanation methods generally fall into two categories: attribution-based explanations, which identify the temporal regions most responsible for a prediction, and counterfactual explanations, which reveal how an input should be modified to alter the model's decision.} {Despite valuable insights, these two fields are largely studied independently. This disconnect leaves attribution methods lacking causal validation, while counterfactual methods suffer from severe instability, producing adversarial-like noise instead of meaningful explanations.} In this work, we revisit time-series explainability from an information-theoretic perspective and show that existing explainers are vulnerable to trivial solutions and distributional shifts. To address these limitations, we propose a unified objective function for explainable time series learning that bridges attribution and counterfactual reasoning within a single framework. Building upon the Information Bottleneck principle, our formulation explicitly prevents trivial explanations and out-of-distribution counterfactuals. {Based on this objective function, we introduce {\modelname}, a novel explanation framework that learns a parametric transformation network to construct explanation-embedded instances, where preserved information yields attribution explanations and controlled information removal produces stable counterfactual explanations.} We evaluate {\modelname} on synthetic and real-world benchmarks against state-of-the-art baselines. Extensive quantitative and qualitative results show that {\modelname} consistently outperforms competing methods, yielding faithful attributions and stable counterfactual explanations.